In 2021, Q used the DVOA and EPA models in together (along with considerations from PFF and 538 models) to make all his NFL bets.
Last year, using the model as a major factor in his picks, Q went 88-93 (+7 units). That includes ATS, Money Line, Over/Under, Parlays, and Teasers. However, the models are highly volatile for the first four weeks of the season. This is because they rely on last season’s data at the start of the new season. The 2021 data is just not reflective of what NFL teams are putting on the field in 2022. In 2021, the picks obtained from the model went 75-71 after week 4 (+11.3 units).